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Power Grids are Graphs
How Graph Neural Networks Unlock the Future of Forecasting on The Electric Power Grid

Chris Gervais
Dec 18, 20254 min read


GraphCast Data is Essential
The tech giant’s graph neural network is systematically benchmarked and up to 15% more accurate than traditional methods. Weather forecasts are the foundational layer for any power market participant. They are the basis for any load, solar and wind forecast, which themselves are a key component in price formation. On any horizon, they drive billion-dollar investment and operational decisions every day. Most weather forecasts today are derived from numerical weather prediction

David Murray
Nov 10, 20254 min read


The business case for day-ahead optimization at renewables
With real-time prices falling, day-ahead participation rates for solar assets have reached 30%, with an average $1.50 per MWh improvement in returns.

David Murray
Aug 11, 20254 min read


Large IPP uses Bidding Benchmarks to support analytics stack
How a developer/owner/operator of large renewable generation in California and Texas uses Enertel's Bidding Benchmarks to reduce...

David Murray
Jul 8, 20253 min read


Scaling Laws in Power Markets Forecasting
How bigger data and bigger models deliver better results A large hydro-electric plant benefits from economies of scale. So do machine...

David Murray
Jun 11, 20254 min read


Enertel’s Newest Product: Bidding Benchmarks
Backtested strategies and how traders can use them How will an incoming windy, cloudy cold front raise net load? How will a line outage...

David Murray
May 6, 20254 min read


Power grid analytics – the data layers that support decisions
When predictions are perfect, the decisions are trivial. It follows that any successful optimization will depend largely on the accuracy of the predictions being used.

David Murray
Apr 28, 20253 min read


Forecasting at new assets: transfer learning and proxy nodes
How graph-based models and transfer learning can improve price forecasts at new nodes with limited or no historical data The sun rises on...

David Murray
Apr 3, 20254 min read


The impact of transmission outages on predicting nodal congestion
How forecasting algorithms can include upcoming transmission outages to better predict the congestion component of locational marginal...

David Murray
Feb 6, 20254 min read


Forecast Evaluation: Moving Beyond Metrics to Business Impact
Profit matters most when evaluating forecasting models The most important part of forecasting is how it improves downstream decision...

David Murray
Dec 18, 20244 min read


Best practices for backtesting trading strategies in power markets
How historical forecasts can support developers and independent power producers to evaluate different trading strategies for their...

David Murray
Oct 17, 20245 min read


What are wholesale power markets?
A simple overview of the power grid, generation technologies and economic dispatch. T he largest machine in the world is the electric...

David Murray
Jan 18, 20226 min read


A short history of power markets
The evolution of independent system operators in North America The market for electricity for much of the twentieth century was dominated...

Chris Gervais
Oct 6, 20212 min read
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